Implications of climate change for land use and waterfowl productivity in prairie Canada / by Benjamin C. Beaman.
Material type: TextSeries: Thesis --. M.S. Publication details: Laramie, WY : University of Wyoming, 2016.Description: vii, 71 leaves : illustrations (some colour) ; 28 cmDDC classification:- BEA
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Thesis(M.S.)--University of Wyoming
"August 2016."
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 54-57).
The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of North America is the continent’s most productive
breeding ground for waterfowl, as well as a highly productive agricultural region. As such,
conversion of native grassland to intensive agriculture continues to fragment and degrade
productive breeding habitat for waterfowl and other wildlife. Climate change has the
potential to exacerbate these trends, posing an even greater threat to continental waterfowl.
This study combines an econometric land-use model with a biological model of waterfowl
productivity to predict the effects of climate-induced land-use change on waterfowl
populations in Prairie Canada. Results indicate that conversion of grassland to intensive row
crops will continue, decreasing the number of hatched waterfowl nests by 8.97% to 16.37%
by 2090. However, spatially targeted pasture subsidies have the potential to offset these
losses. By targeting subsidies in areas where conserving hatched nests is relatively
inexpensive, waterfowl populations can be approximately maintained at current levels for
$848/hatched nest.